Section 50 Poisson Distribution

  • Poisson distribution is named after the French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson.

  • The Poisson distribution is designed for counts (discrete data)

  • The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of an event occurs in a fixed interval of time or space given the event occurs with a known constant rate and independently of the time since the last event.

  • The Poisson distribution can also be used for the number of events in other specified intervals such as distance, area or volume.

  • The Binomial distribution is appropriate when we count the number of occurrences that happen out of a total number possible. - number of patients with a specific disease out of a group of N individuals - number of seeds that germinate out of a total sown

  • The Poisson distribution is often used to describe count data, where events are occurring randomly in time or space.

  • The Poisson distribution can take any positive integer, including zero.

  • The Poisson distribution assumes that counts are obtained for n independent samples, all taken from an underlying population in which the mean count is \(\lambda\)

  • It is characterized by a single parameter, its mean, sometimes denoted by the Greek letter ‘lambda’: \(\lambda\).

  • The parameter \(\lambda\) is the average number of occurrences per unit time or space, for example, the average number of bacterial colony per square cm on a plate, the average number of cars in a queue, the average number of eggs in a nest, etc.

  • If the random variable \(X\) follows Poisson distribution with parameter \(\lambda>0\), then the probability mass function of \(X\) is:

\[ \large f(x; \lambda) = e^{-\lambda} \frac{\lambda^x}{x!} \]

  • We say that \(X\) has a Poisson distribution, and denote this by writing: \(X \sim Po(\lambda)\) where \(\lambda\) is known as a parameter of the distribution.

  • If \(X\) is a Poisson random variable with parameters \(\lambda\):

\[ \large \mu = E(X) = \lambda \]

\[ \large \sigma^2 = V(X) = \lambda \]